AP voter doubles down

User avatar
APPdiesel
Posts: 2696
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 5:53 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 824 times
Been thanked: 1525 times
Contact:

AP voter doubles down

Unread post by APPdiesel » Wed Sep 10, 2025 10:29 am

In case you haven't been following this story...

Southern California based AP voter Haley Sawyer is catching a LOT of flack for moving Florida up and South Florida down after the Bulls beat the Gators Saturday. She then took to video and essentially laughed it off saying "it probably doesn't matter". So either, A) she got caught not knowing the result of a game and just assumed UF won or B) she doesn't take her role as a voter seriously. I'm sure everyone here believes that the polls are "rigged against the small schools" to some degree.

Danny Kanell says we should give her a break. What do you think?

Link to watch her video response to the controversey: https://x.com/dannykanell/status/1965427668742254849
Sports talk host & content creator on The Fan Upstate, 97.7 FM Greenville/97.1 FM Spartanburg/FREE AUDACY APP.

http://www.twitter.com/dieselonradio

AppStFan1
Posts: 7067
Joined: Mon Dec 03, 2018 10:37 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 1048 times
Been thanked: 1950 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by AppStFan1 » Wed Sep 10, 2025 10:52 am

APPdiesel wrote:
Wed Sep 10, 2025 10:29 am
In case you haven't been following this story...

Southern California based AP voter Haley Sawyer is catching a LOT of flack for moving Florida up and South Florida down after the Bulls beat the Gators Saturday. She then took to video and essentially laughed it off saying "it probably doesn't matter". So either, A) she got caught not knowing the result of a game and just assumed UF won or B) she doesn't take her role as a voter seriously. I'm sure everyone here believes that the polls are "rigged against the small schools" to some degree.

Danny Kanell says we should give her a break. What do you think?

Link to watch her video response to the controversey: https://x.com/dannykanell/status/1965427668742254849
Her video response should be enough to take away her voting privileges. Just knowing that they often have to drag the name of a team into a box in many polls she could have said it was an error but she did not even do that. I do wonder why the person tallying the votes did not catch it and ask her if she was sure of that.

Many coaches just let their SID cast their vote and many AP voters either do something like this or just slot teams, meaning they have a floor and ceiling to which they will move a team in a week. This is proof that we should completely ignore the polls and they don't even matter anymore since we have the CFP rankings anyway.

We would all be floored at some of the crazy votes if all conferences, national awards, and polls published every single vote. I know the media in the SoCon was heavily slanted to Furman because there were more media from the Greenville/Spartanburg area. I have heard of some crazy votes by media in the Sun Belt Postseason Awards and other leagues as well.

Bigdaddyg1
Posts: 2057
Joined: Sun Aug 13, 2023 9:51 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 3 times
Been thanked: 1170 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by Bigdaddyg1 » Wed Sep 10, 2025 11:15 am

Yet another example of why no pole should exist until at least 6 games into the season. South Florida appears to be legit but when I hear it mentioned that they have two top 25 wins I shake my head. While that may be true the first win was against “number 25” Boise who was 0-0 and was only ranked based on a complely unknown opinion. It will probably ultimately be a quality win but if Boise goes 6-6 saying USF beat a ranked team will sound even more ridiculous.

User avatar
Parks&RecAPP
Posts: 108
Joined: Wed Sep 14, 2016 7:01 am
School: Appalachian State
Location: Asheville, NC
Has thanked: 306 times
Been thanked: 66 times
Contact:

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by Parks&RecAPP » Wed Sep 10, 2025 11:24 am

I wish they would get rid of rankings altogether, and the playoffs be composed of only conference champions. Win your conference, go to the playoffs, plain and simple.

User avatar
T-Dog
Posts: 7015
Joined: Mon Oct 23, 2006 11:35 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 369 times
Been thanked: 3016 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by T-Dog » Wed Sep 10, 2025 11:25 am

I'm a Team No Polls Til October as well.

The problem with her mindset is that there are only 62 AP votes, so one rogue vote can be the difference between a team being in the poll and not. And the AP Poll is a massive boost to teams. Having that number by your school's name on a 3-4 hour broadcast is free advertising. And it's used big time in recruiting.

If schools use fake list rankings made by random social network accounts and what resellers want to charge people per ticket as marketing tools, they will use any little thing in recruiting.

All she had to say was "I didn't see the games, assumed wrong, I made a mistake and I'll do better next week."

As someone vote has voted in the Reddit CFB Top 25 poll for several years and previously was a voter in FCS Top 25 polls, it's not as easy as you may think. Especially in September. I forgot two nailed-on Top 25 teams in my Week One poll this year.

BallantyneApp
Posts: 1328
Joined: Mon Jan 08, 2018 4:33 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 98 times
Been thanked: 1018 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by BallantyneApp » Wed Sep 10, 2025 12:40 pm

The AP poll as it currently sits is not a poll to look at the best 25 teams, its a marketing tool for the tv companies to market their games

RaleighApp27609
Posts: 403
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2023 10:21 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 157 times
Been thanked: 134 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by RaleighApp27609 » Wed Sep 10, 2025 12:43 pm

APPdiesel wrote:
Wed Sep 10, 2025 10:29 am
In case you haven't been following this story...

Southern California based AP voter Haley Sawyer is catching a LOT of flack for moving Florida up and South Florida down after the Bulls beat the Gators Saturday. She then took to video and essentially laughed it off saying "it probably doesn't matter". So either, A) she got caught not knowing the result of a game and just assumed UF won or B) she doesn't take her role as a voter seriously. I'm sure everyone here believes that the polls are "rigged against the small schools" to some degree.

Danny Kanell says we should give her a break. What do you think?

Link to watch her video response to the controversey: https://x.com/dannykanell/status/1965427668742254849
The cavalier attitude pisses me off to no end. Can someone enlighten us as to how or if AP voters are changed out during or throughout the season?

mike87
Posts: 1521
Joined: Tue Sep 01, 2015 8:55 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 1564 times
Been thanked: 1353 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by mike87 » Wed Sep 10, 2025 1:58 pm

it's probably time to ditch all these idiot pollsters and let AI handle it.

EastHallApp
Posts: 6802
Joined: Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:34 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Raleigh
Has thanked: 3385 times
Been thanked: 2956 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by EastHallApp » Wed Sep 10, 2025 2:02 pm

Pretty awful video. Not the end of the world, but to just ramble on and laugh about it and say "I'm glad people are having fun with it" is a bad response. If she just said "my bad, guys - that was an oversight. I'll correct it on next week's ballot" then I think everyone would just move on. But a lot of people seem to adopt the "never admit when you make a mistake" approach these days.

Given her comments and saying "it probably doesn't matter," I think removing her as a voter for the rest of the season seems like a reasonable response.

Saint3333
Posts: 14610
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2000 8:42 am
Has thanked: 4143 times
Been thanked: 6433 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by Saint3333 » Wed Sep 10, 2025 2:03 pm

ChatGPT:

Here’s a composite Top 25 ranking for college football as of Week 3 of the 2025 season, factoring in:

🔥 Offensive Efficiency: Points scored, yards per play, red zone conversion

🛡️ Defensive Efficiency: Points allowed, yards per play, third-down stops

📊 Strength of Schedule: Quality of opponents faced so far

This list blends insights from the latest Athlon Sports rankings, ESPN’s Football Power Index, and strength of schedule data:

Rank Team Record Key Strengths
1️⃣ Ohio State 2-0 Elite offense (70 pts vs Grambling), dominant defense2
2️⃣ Penn State 2-0 Top-tier defense (11 pts allowed in 2 games), balanced attack
3️⃣ Georgia 2-0 Stifling rush defense, consistent execution despite weather delays2
4️⃣ Texas 2-0 Strong bounce-back win, Arch Manning heating up
5️⃣ LSU 2-0 Defense locked down Louisiana Tech, solid win over Clemson
6️⃣ Oregon 2-0 Explosive offense (69 pts vs OK State), efficient QB play
7️⃣ Miami 2-0 Dominant defense, Carson Beck nearly perfect passing
8️⃣ Oklahoma 2-0 Big win over Michigan, rising offensive efficiency2
9️⃣ Alabama 1-1 Rebounded well, strong defensive metrics
🔟 USC 2-0 Balanced attack, improving defense
11 Notre Dame 1-1 Competitive vs Miami, solid fundamentals
12 Tennessee 2-0 High-scoring offense, facing Georgia next3
13 Utah 2-0 Strong schedule, physical defense
14 Texas A&M 2-0 Efficient ground game, SEC-tested
15 Missouri 2-0 Beat Kansas, rising defensive metrics
16 Ole Miss 2-0 Explosive offense, improving schedule strength
17 South Florida 2-0 Upset Florida, efficient scoring
18 Clemson 1-1 Struggled vs LSU, but defense still solid2
19 Florida State 1-1 Scored 77 in Week 2, but schedule strength mixed
20 Michigan 1-1 Lost to Oklahoma, but tough schedule
21 TCU 2-0 Balanced team, rising in Big 12
22 Kansas 1-1 Competitive vs Missouri, solid metrics
23 SMU 1-1 Strong offensive showing, needs defensive boost
24 Arizona State 1-1 Lost to Mississippi State, but schedule is tough
25 Nebraska 2-0 Scored 68 in Week 2, improving efficiency

t4pizza
Posts: 5514
Joined: Sun Oct 26, 2008 11:00 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 3594 times
Been thanked: 2063 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by t4pizza » Wed Sep 10, 2025 2:07 pm

Texas is 1-1 not 2-0 and Florida State is 2-0 not 1-1. Seems ChatGPT messed up also. Also crazy how far ahead they have Bama when Florida State made them look downright bad.

Saint3333
Posts: 14610
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2000 8:42 am
Has thanked: 4143 times
Been thanked: 6433 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by Saint3333 » Wed Sep 10, 2025 2:16 pm

So ChatGPT is running at the equivalent of bottom quartile AP voter. That's progress.

User avatar
APPdiesel
Posts: 2696
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 5:53 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 824 times
Been thanked: 1525 times
Contact:

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by APPdiesel » Thu Sep 11, 2025 8:44 am

And I’ve been having the debate with my cohost the last few days about what we value. I’ve pushed the S&P+ ratings system because it’s data driven and takes your opponent (including what you should do against them) into account, yet he keeps saying he values the polls more the data. How can you value polls when this voter admits she doesn’t take it seriously?
Sports talk host & content creator on The Fan Upstate, 97.7 FM Greenville/97.1 FM Spartanburg/FREE AUDACY APP.

http://www.twitter.com/dieselonradio

AppStFan1
Posts: 7067
Joined: Mon Dec 03, 2018 10:37 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 1048 times
Been thanked: 1950 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by AppStFan1 » Thu Sep 11, 2025 8:58 am

APPdiesel wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 8:44 am
And I’ve been having the debate with my cohost the last few days about what we value. I’ve pushed the S&P+ ratings system because it’s data driven and takes your opponent (including what you should do against them) into account, yet he keeps saying he values the polls more the data. How can you value polls when this voter admits she doesn’t take it seriously?
100% with you. If a voter won't take their vote seriously enough to make sure they get it right then I don't see how we can take the poll seriously either. That vote was pure laziness.

Bigdaddyg1
Posts: 2057
Joined: Sun Aug 13, 2023 9:51 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 3 times
Been thanked: 1170 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by Bigdaddyg1 » Thu Sep 11, 2025 9:58 am

AppStFan1 wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 8:58 am
APPdiesel wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 8:44 am
And I’ve been having the debate with my cohost the last few days about what we value. I’ve pushed the S&P+ ratings system because it’s data driven and takes your opponent (including what you should do against them) into account, yet he keeps saying he values the polls more the data. How can you value polls when this voter admits she doesn’t take it seriously?
100% with you. If a voter won't take their vote seriously enough to make sure they get it right then I don't see how we can take the poll seriously either. That vote was pure laziness.
How many human voters actually watch all of the games and the teams each week? Most of the time you can simply pencil in the usual top 10 or so. Wait 6 games and let the computer figure it out

EastHallApp
Posts: 6802
Joined: Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:34 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Raleigh
Has thanked: 3385 times
Been thanked: 2956 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by EastHallApp » Thu Sep 11, 2025 10:48 am

I think there's a place for both computer rankings and human voters. Polls have their flaws, but I don't think one voter making a dumb oversight in week 2 completely invalidates the whole concept.

Also, AI still makes a lot of basic mistakes, computer rankings are only as good as the humans who design them, and any computer system you create, teams will figure out a way to game it. See basketball teams running up the score on cupcakes to boost their NET rating.

User avatar
APPdiesel
Posts: 2696
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 5:53 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 824 times
Been thanked: 1525 times
Contact:

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by APPdiesel » Thu Sep 11, 2025 11:02 am

EastHallApp wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 10:48 am
I think there's a place for both computer rankings and human voters. Polls have their flaws, but I don't think one voter making a dumb oversight in week 2 completely invalidates the whole concept.

Also, AI still makes a lot of basic mistakes, computer rankings are only as good as the humans who design them, and any computer system you create, teams will figure out a way to game it. See basketball teams running up the score on cupcakes to boost their NET rating.
This is pure supposition, but I'd be willing to bet she's not the only one who puts a lackluster amount of thought into her ballot. If 1 person screws up, it's not a big deal, but if 10, 15, 20 do, then it does invalidate the process. Most AP voters are working media with another job to do...this is just a "fun" side job they have to do. And quoting Josh Pate on his show, "where do you think the CFP voters get their base line information from? The AP polls".
Sports talk host & content creator on The Fan Upstate, 97.7 FM Greenville/97.1 FM Spartanburg/FREE AUDACY APP.

http://www.twitter.com/dieselonradio

AppStFan1
Posts: 7067
Joined: Mon Dec 03, 2018 10:37 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 1048 times
Been thanked: 1950 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by AppStFan1 » Thu Sep 11, 2025 12:02 pm

Bigdaddyg1 wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 9:58 am
AppStFan1 wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 8:58 am
APPdiesel wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 8:44 am
And I’ve been having the debate with my cohost the last few days about what we value. I’ve pushed the S&P+ ratings system because it’s data driven and takes your opponent (including what you should do against them) into account, yet he keeps saying he values the polls more the data. How can you value polls when this voter admits she doesn’t take it seriously?
100% with you. If a voter won't take their vote seriously enough to make sure they get it right then I don't see how we can take the poll seriously either. That vote was pure laziness.
How many human voters actually watch all of the games and the teams each week? Most of the time you can simply pencil in the usual top 10 or so. Wait 6 games and let the computer figure it out
It is impossible to watch them all but good voters watch as much as possible and spend time going through box scores to see how the game went. She made the laziest mistake possible assuming how a game would go instead of seeing how it finished. Their deadline to turn in a ballot is usually Sunday morning and the USF game was not like a midnight eastern start time, which still would not be a good excuse. Honestly, I believe ballots are your opinion but to drop USF and move UF up is so bad she should lose her voting rights for the rest of the year, at minimum. There is no plausible excuse other than laziness and you can't be a lazy voter.

bcoach
Posts: 4837
Joined: Tue Sep 04, 2012 4:49 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 1564 times
Been thanked: 1753 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by bcoach » Thu Sep 11, 2025 12:32 pm

Polls are just someones guess. They really mean absolutly nothing. There is no way to rank one team over another if they have not played each nother. Fun to look at but mean nothing.

EastHallApp
Posts: 6802
Joined: Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:34 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Raleigh
Has thanked: 3385 times
Been thanked: 2956 times

Re: AP voter doubles down

Unread post by EastHallApp » Thu Sep 11, 2025 12:34 pm

APPdiesel wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 11:02 am
EastHallApp wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 10:48 am
I think there's a place for both computer rankings and human voters. Polls have their flaws, but I don't think one voter making a dumb oversight in week 2 completely invalidates the whole concept.

Also, AI still makes a lot of basic mistakes, computer rankings are only as good as the humans who design them, and any computer system you create, teams will figure out a way to game it. See basketball teams running up the score on cupcakes to boost their NET rating.
This is pure supposition, but I'd be willing to bet she's not the only one who puts a lackluster amount of thought into her ballot. If 1 person screws up, it's not a big deal, but if 10, 15, 20 do, then it does invalidate the process. Most AP voters are working media with another job to do...this is just a "fun" side job they have to do. And quoting Josh Pate on his show, "where do you think the CFP voters get their base line information from? The AP polls".
I would argue that you can put together a pretty credible top 25 ballot by simply following the sport fairly closely (which obviously any sportswriter is already doing) and then spending a few minutes checking the scores and standings each week.

You can do a deep dive of analytics and film study on every team if you want, but the returns diminish pretty quickly on that.

Post Reply Previous topicNext topic

Return to “Appalachian General Discussion”