Penn State write-up at SBNation

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Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by McLeansvilleAppFan » Fri Jul 06, 2018 8:38 pm



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by AtlAppMan » Fri Jul 06, 2018 10:54 pm

Hey, based on this article they will be in CFP finals



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by Stonewall » Sat Jul 07, 2018 9:42 pm

Tough opener. Get better , stay healthy.



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by AppSt94 » Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:59 am

There are a lot of similarities between us and them. The loss of some key performers opens the door for talented, yet unproven, untested players. It will be fun to watch these two teams develop through the season.



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by NewApp » Sun Jul 08, 2018 3:19 pm

AppSt94 wrote:
Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:59 am
There are a lot of similarities between us and them. The loss of some key performers opens the door for talented, yet unproven, untested players. It will be fun to watch these two teams develop through the season.
The calibre of athlete they are able to recruit is a factor.


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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by ncman071 » Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:28 pm

This is a game that I refuse to just chalk up as a loss. We can play great and beat them. It will be tough. I hope to see us go the PSU and play well, let them know they played the Mountaineers and I want to see us constantly fight throughout the game with the confidence of a team that believes that victory can and will happen. It's gonna be interesting. If we can keep it close leading into the 4th qtr, you just never know.



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by McLeansvilleAppFan » Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:44 pm

We need to play a near perfect game and hope for a few things to fall our way but this game is certainly winnable. And by near perfect-turnovers that fabor us and few penalties and certainly none that turn 4th downs into 1st downs. That is doable for us.
Make FGs also.

Win or lose I do want to leave injury free as much as possible so we are in good shape for conference play and to be honest, the Charlotte game the next week.


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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by PhillyApp1 » Mon Jul 09, 2018 8:19 am

No turnovers, made field goals, a running game, and remember......

Always Attack !!!!



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by ASUGoose » Mon Jul 09, 2018 10:01 am

Interesting to see their win probability % over us is equal to or lower than a few B10 opponents....

vs. App = 89%
vs. Rutgers = 89%
vs. Maryland = 92%
vs. Illinois = 93%

GO 'NEERS!



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by McLeansvilleAppFan » Mon Jul 09, 2018 10:07 am

I wonder if that is based on pure talent or thinking that being the first game of the year it plays to us a bit being a bit more unknown.


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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by AtlAppMan » Mon Jul 09, 2018 10:55 am

McLeansvilleAppFan wrote:
Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:44 pm
Win or lose I do want to leave injury free as much as possible
Isn't that a goal for every game? I really hate when folks use that point every time we play a top 25 team as a justification for a loss before we even play the game. We all agree PSU will be a top 10 team and we will have to play a near flawless game and some guys will have to make some big plays to have a chance to win. I believe if we do that then it will be a game. That type of performance from our team will put pressure on PSU too. If we play at that level they will have to make some big plays to beat us. It is a winnable game.



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by NattyBumppo'sRevenge » Mon Jul 09, 2018 3:07 pm

Need to send them some gonja a few days before our game, maybe send some escorts, too. Throw them a pre-game celebration...



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by PhillyApp1 » Mon Jul 09, 2018 3:20 pm

Natty,
I hope people see your sarcasm 8-)
Last edited by PhillyApp1 on Mon Jul 09, 2018 4:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by appchicago » Mon Jul 09, 2018 3:58 pm

McLeansvilleAppFan wrote:
Mon Jul 09, 2018 10:07 am
I wonder if that is based on pure talent or thinking that being the first game of the year it plays to us a bit being a bit more unknown.
I think Connelly uses the projected S&P+ rankings to determine win probability. S&P+ is based on recent history, returning production, and recruiting. https://www.sbnation.com/college-footba ... rojections



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by DaphneUrquhart » Mon Jul 09, 2018 4:12 pm

McLeansvilleAppFan wrote:
Mon Jul 09, 2018 10:07 am
I wonder if that is based on pure talent or thinking that being the first game of the year it plays to us a bit being a bit more unknown.
S&P+ is a number nerds heaven. The first six or seven games of each season would be calculated on prior year S&P+ since there's not enough data for the current season until then. It takes some of the transitive thinking (A beat B; B beat C; A is better than C) out of the mix and focuses on things that are more measurable (e.g. - yards gained per first down play).


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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by McLeansvilleAppFan » Mon Jul 09, 2018 6:19 pm

What does S&P+ stand for. It must have some meaning, or is it the obvious answer of Standard & Poor's and they are applying their analytics to college football?


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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by DaphneUrquhart » Mon Jul 09, 2018 8:02 pm

McLeansvilleAppFan wrote:
Mon Jul 09, 2018 6:19 pm
What does S&P+ stand for. It must have some meaning, or is it the obvious answer of Standard & Poor's and they are applying their analytics to college football?
It's "success rate" and "points per play". https://www.sbnation.com/college-footba ... s-rankings has the best explanation.


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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by NewApp » Tue Jul 10, 2018 5:16 am

PhillyApp1 wrote:
Mon Jul 09, 2018 3:20 pm
Natty,
I hope people see your sarcasm 8-)
It's obvious. I hope. :)


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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by ASU84 » Tue Jul 10, 2018 10:37 am

NewApp wrote:
Tue Jul 10, 2018 5:16 am
PhillyApp1 wrote:
Mon Jul 09, 2018 3:20 pm
Natty,
I hope people see your sarcasm 8-)
It's obvious. I hope. :)
Assume much? :D :lol: :mrgreen:



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Re: Penn State write-up at SBNation

Unread post by APPdiesel » Tue Jul 10, 2018 1:29 pm

NewApp wrote:
Tue Jul 10, 2018 5:16 am
PhillyApp1 wrote:
Mon Jul 09, 2018 3:20 pm
Natty,
I hope people see your sarcasm 8-)
It's obvious. I hope. :)
But that doesn't mean it's a bad idea 😉. Women weaken the legs.



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