https://www.cbssports.com/college-footb ... -fbs-team/

For what it's worth - I guess he figures us stubbing our toes in Chapel Hill and Columbia

Sun Belt
Appalachian State: 9 (Over -115, Under -102)
Arkansas State: 7.5 (Over -165, Under +140)
Georgia Southern: 6.5 (Over -108, Under -108)
Troy: 6.5 (Over -185, Under +155)
Louisiana: 5.5 (Over -130, Under +110)
ULM: 5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
Georgia State: 4.5 (Over +126, Under -148)
Coastal Carolina: 4.5 (Over +155, Under -185)
Texas State: 4.5 (Over -102, Under -114)
South Alabama: 2.5 (Over -108, Under -108)

Not trying to be the “well actually” guy but that doesn’t really indicate that they think we lose to UNC and USC. In fact, the favored bet there is taking the over 9, having to put down 115 to win 100 compared to 102 to win 100 for under 9. The last few years our win total has been around 9/9.5. They mainly produce a number that will entice bettors on both sides of the action

And those are statistical odds.

If you have three games with a 60% chance of winning, individually it looks like you should win everyone but over a season it amortizes that you may lose one of those.

He's giving UNC a 4.5 total and surprisingly a 6 total to SoCar with their tough schedule. Before week 1, my guess we are favored in all our games except the 'Cocks? The favorite doesn't always win though. Stay "Healthy" my friends!

AtlAppMan wrote: ↑

Thu Jun 27, 2019 3:02 pm

And those are statistical odds.

If you have three games with a 60% chance of winning, individually it looks like you should win everyone but over a season it amortizes that you may lose one of those.

Should just copy this post and paste it whenever someone posts a variation of "some guy at footballstuffs.com ranked us higher than all but one of our opponents, that means we're going 11-1 at worst!"

Sun Belt
GOOD LINE Appalachian State: 9 (Over -115, Under -102)
UNDER Arkansas State: 7.5 (Over -165, Under +140)
OVER Georgia Southern: 6.5 (Over -108, Under -108)
HEAVY OVER Troy: 6.5 (Over -185, Under +155)
HEAVY OVER Louisiana: 5.5 (Over -130, Under +110)
OVER ULM: 5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
UNDER Georgia State: 4.5 (Over +126, Under -148)
UNDER Coastal Carolina: 4.5 (Over +155, Under -185)
UNDER Texas State: 4.5 (Over -102, Under -114)
OVER South Alabama: 2.5 (Over -108, Under -108)

Saint3333 wrote: ↑

Thu Jun 27, 2019 4:21 pm

Sun Belt
GOOD LINE Appalachian State: 9 (Over -115, Under -102)
UNDER Arkansas State: 7.5 (Over -165, Under +140)
OVER Georgia Southern: 6.5 (Over -108, Under -108)
HEAVY OVER Troy: 6.5 (Over -185, Under +155)
HEAVY OVER Louisiana: 5.5 (Over -130, Under +110)
OVER ULM: 5 (Over -120, Under EVEN)
UNDER Georgia State: 4.5 (Over +126, Under -148)
UNDER Coastal Carolina: 4.5 (Over +155, Under -185)
UNDER Texas State: 4.5 (Over -102, Under -114)
OVER South Alabama: 2.5 (Over -108, Under -108)

I agree with you on this. The value, although not enticing is on the Over for Troy and Louisiana. But I say that knowing that I would not lay $185 and $130 to win $100. I would say that at the end of the year, 80% of these are going to be withing the half game of being correct.