Here is the link to the fall sports streaming schedule.

https://appstatesports.com/news/2023/8/ ... edule.aspx

UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

ASU_Victory_Lap
Posts: 21
Joined: Tue Sep 03, 2019 9:44 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 3 times
Been thanked: 5 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by ASU_Victory_Lap » Mon Sep 16, 2019 8:57 am

Action Network has 56% of bets on App so far. The line opened at -4.5 and has dropped to -3.5. A lot of faith in us. Also, bet your children on the over.

Black Saturday
Posts: 10390
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 11:22 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 911 times
Been thanked: 1030 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by Black Saturday » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:19 am

AppSt94 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 8:42 am
/\PP ST/\TE GRAD 09 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 7:03 am
Too many unknowns from both teams. UNC looked like trash against Wake, while our last game wasn't what was expected. Not sure how the extra week of preparations will go. O/U and spread are too risky for me to play. I did say before the season started I would throw down on the money line, because I think App can win.
The rule of thumb is to bet the underdog if you can make the case that they will win outright. I would wait until Thursday though and let the public bet it up to 5.5 or 6. Money lines are are too risky for my blood.
Just use it for entertainment purposes only.
BLACK SATURDAY

User avatar
/\PP ST/\TE GRAD 09
Posts: 3105
Joined: Fri May 15, 2015 2:05 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Virginia
Has thanked: 643 times
Been thanked: 1741 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by /\PP ST/\TE GRAD 09 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:33 am

AppSt94 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 8:42 am
/\PP ST/\TE GRAD 09 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 7:03 am
Too many unknowns from both teams. UNC looked like trash against Wake, while our last game wasn't what was expected. Not sure how the extra week of preparations will go. O/U and spread are too risky for me to play. I did say before the season started I would throw down on the money line, because I think App can win.
The rule of thumb is to bet the underdog if you can make the case that they will win outright. I would wait until Thursday though and let the public bet it up to 5.5 or 6. Money lines are are too risky for my blood.
Not starting an argument but wondering why you feel money lines are too risky? I've been let down too many times with spread and o/u bets. Most recent example, bet the over for the Ravens (My team) and Cardinals game. Happy my team won, but the wallet was a little lighter. I'd rather be happy with an App win and money in my pocket, than get an App win and not get money. I do like to bet the spread when a team is heavily favored, especially in college football where scores can get crazy.
Twitter: @brosef_yosef

AppSt94
Posts: 9527
Joined: Thu Aug 09, 2012 6:39 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Huntersville, NC
Has thanked: 6321 times
Been thanked: 3915 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by AppSt94 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:04 am

/\PP ST/\TE GRAD 09 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:33 am
AppSt94 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 8:42 am
/\PP ST/\TE GRAD 09 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 7:03 am
Too many unknowns from both teams. UNC looked like trash against Wake, while our last game wasn't what was expected. Not sure how the extra week of preparations will go. O/U and spread are too risky for me to play. I did say before the season started I would throw down on the money line, because I think App can win.
The rule of thumb is to bet the underdog if you can make the case that they will win outright. I would wait until Thursday though and let the public bet it up to 5.5 or 6. Money lines are are too risky for my blood.
Not starting an argument but wondering why you feel money lines are too risky? I've been let down too many times with spread and o/u bets. Most recent example, bet the over for the Ravens (My team) and Cardinals game. Happy my team won, but the wallet was a little lighter. I'd rather be happy with an App win and money in my pocket, than get an App win and not get money. I do like to bet the spread when a team is heavily favored, especially in college football where scores can get crazy.
Sure. No need for an argument. It's just a preference and it isn't my money. Money lines are tricky in college because you need a decided underdog to pull off an upset and win outright to make money. Obviously, the bigger the spread the bigger the juice to entice the wager. It's just too rich for my blood, especially considering the talent disparity among college programs.

The only time I like the Money Line is with MLB as you are essentially betting on a starting pitcher and the staff of reliever.

Over/Under is a different issue altogether. I mean if you are voting the Under, you are rooting for a boring game. On the other hand, betting the over still brings in some unplanned variables that could affect the outcome. Turnovers, late game coaching strategies, injuries. It's all part of the betting. As with this game, the initial 52 point total screams to take the over and I would probably lean that way. But I can see this game being a 28-24 contest which puts it on the number. I like to see where the opening line starts and which way it gets pushed by the public and go the other way or buy points to move it in my favor. That is the basic strategy if you ask anyone that has been doing it for a long time.

AppSt94
Posts: 9527
Joined: Thu Aug 09, 2012 6:39 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Huntersville, NC
Has thanked: 6321 times
Been thanked: 3915 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by AppSt94 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:08 am

ASU_Victory_Lap wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 8:57 am
Action Network has 56% of bets on App so far. The line opened at -4.5 and has dropped to -3.5. A lot of faith in us. Also, bet your children on the over.
Do you have a link to this? I would be interested in seeing this. I use Vegas Insider and they have the opening line at 3. It would be cool to watch where the money is going.

ericsaid
Posts: 1621
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2016 2:38 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 85 times
Been thanked: 387 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by ericsaid » Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:29 am

appgrad95&97 wrote:
Sun Sep 15, 2019 2:26 pm
Black Saturday wrote:
Sun Sep 15, 2019 2:15 pm
For what it's worth

Charlotte

Clemson -42

I'm not sure what that's worth. UNC is a lot closer to UNCC than they are to CU.

As I understand it, the rule of thumb is that home field is worth 3 points. The opening line kind of indicates that the boys in the desert think App and UNC are pretty equal. Be interesting to see how much that line moves over the next few days.

I personally wouldn't touch this game. Too much unknown about what App will do after the bye and two teams with new coaches only 4 weeks into the season. Tough to project.

ericsaid
Posts: 1621
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2016 2:38 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 85 times
Been thanked: 387 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by ericsaid » Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:32 am

Black Saturday wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:19 am
AppSt94 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 8:42 am
/\PP ST/\TE GRAD 09 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 7:03 am
Too many unknowns from both teams. UNC looked like trash against Wake, while our last game wasn't what was expected. Not sure how the extra week of preparations will go. O/U and spread are too risky for me to play. I did say before the season started I would throw down on the money line, because I think App can win.
The rule of thumb is to bet the underdog if you can make the case that they will win outright. I would wait until Thursday though and let the public bet it up to 5.5 or 6. Money lines are are too risky for my blood.
Just use it for entertainment purposes only.
Stacking money lines in games I see as virtual toss ups based on the spread with other sure bets are ways I decrease the Vegas odds of winning while increasing payout (for entertainment purposes only) should the events happen. Also taking alternative lines is a good way to go. Like picking a small favorite (UNC at -3 at -110), at home, at a cover line of +8 at -350. Stack those teaser bets with other vigs at a higher price and go from there.

AppSt94
Posts: 9527
Joined: Thu Aug 09, 2012 6:39 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Huntersville, NC
Has thanked: 6321 times
Been thanked: 3915 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by AppSt94 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:45 am

So it you want an intriguing proposition, FSU is laying 8 against Louisville. Nothing about FSU to this point tells me that they have the ability to cover a spread that covers two numbers.

User avatar
biggie
Site Admin
Posts: 7486
Joined: Thu Jul 24, 2008 2:53 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Clemmons
Has thanked: 1362 times
Been thanked: 1728 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by biggie » Mon Sep 16, 2019 12:58 pm

In case anyone wants to watch the press conf from the other team:


User avatar
ASU2012
Posts: 474
Joined: Sun Oct 21, 2012 7:32 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 43 times
Been thanked: 193 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by ASU2012 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 1:06 pm

I'd bet my house on the over. Won't be popular, but UNC -3.0 at home seems too good to pass up vs. our defense.

User avatar
biggie
Site Admin
Posts: 7486
Joined: Thu Jul 24, 2008 2:53 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Clemmons
Has thanked: 1362 times
Been thanked: 1728 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by biggie » Mon Sep 16, 2019 1:55 pm

Drink teleconf:


User avatar
biggie
Site Admin
Posts: 7486
Joined: Thu Jul 24, 2008 2:53 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Clemmons
Has thanked: 1362 times
Been thanked: 1728 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by biggie » Mon Sep 16, 2019 2:02 pm


Mjohn1988
Posts: 1676
Joined: Wed May 01, 2019 10:10 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 289 times
Been thanked: 1237 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by Mjohn1988 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 2:03 pm

biggie wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 12:58 pm
In case anyone wants to watch the press conf from the other team:

Listing to that it sounds like we could have made a pitch to Mack to coach at App. I’m sure he doesn’t need money. Not saying we should have, but again, it sure sounds like he would have listened.

On a side note, don’t know how many folks saw the Pink out at UGA but that was driven by someone reading a weekly article for UGA fans that says why UGA fans shouldn’t hate this weeks opponent. The article on A State was about the death of the coaches wife. So my reason not to hate UNC this week will be Mack Brown. Don’t get me wrong, this doesn’t change how bad I want to win.
Last edited by Mjohn1988 on Mon Sep 16, 2019 2:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.

User avatar
biggie
Site Admin
Posts: 7486
Joined: Thu Jul 24, 2008 2:53 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Clemmons
Has thanked: 1362 times
Been thanked: 1728 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by biggie » Mon Sep 16, 2019 2:04 pm


goapps
Posts: 339
Joined: Fri Aug 10, 2012 7:45 am
School: Appalachian State
Location: Charlotte
Has thanked: 701 times
Been thanked: 150 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by goapps » Mon Sep 16, 2019 6:16 pm

ESPN matchup predictor has UNC-CH with a 70% chance of winning.

yosef69
Posts: 1967
Joined: Wed Oct 24, 2018 6:26 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 273 times
Been thanked: 1136 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by yosef69 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 6:18 pm

goapps wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 6:16 pm
ESPN matchup predictor has UNC-CH with a 70% chance of winning.
You mean the main perpetrator of the p5 bias has the p5 team heavily favored?

AppSt94
Posts: 9527
Joined: Thu Aug 09, 2012 6:39 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Huntersville, NC
Has thanked: 6321 times
Been thanked: 3915 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by AppSt94 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 6:39 pm


yosef69
Posts: 1967
Joined: Wed Oct 24, 2018 6:26 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 273 times
Been thanked: 1136 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by yosef69 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 7:06 pm

Just watched a mack brown interview and he said there will be sun belt refs calling the game. Excuse locked and loaded for the holes

AppDawg
Posts: 1452
Joined: Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:19 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 1251 times
Been thanked: 504 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by AppDawg » Mon Sep 16, 2019 7:07 pm

That was yesterday before the odds were out. Has adjusted today, still Apps on top:

https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/appalac ... 19-1115067

User avatar
appstatealum
Posts: 3314
Joined: Sun Nov 01, 2015 1:45 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Charlotte/Gastonia
Has thanked: 3326 times
Been thanked: 1777 times

Re: UNC favored by Vegas -3.5

Unread post by appstatealum » Mon Sep 16, 2019 7:16 pm

ASU2012 wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 1:06 pm
I'd bet my house on the over. Won't be popular, but UNC -3.0 at home seems too good to pass up vs. our defense.
There are two teams I will never touch in wagers (although I do not gamble anymore), it is App State and the Panthers. Lately, App is good to cover as a favorite against FCS, but any other game is a toss up. Throw in new coaching staff in the everything is out the window. Panthers? Don’t touch them, ever. I won’t even touch their players in Fantasy Football. You never know what you’ll get week to week.

*I used to gamble on just about everything, and was pretty good at it TBH.
The Appalachian State

Post Reply Previous topicNext topic

Return to “Appalachian Football”