appchicago wrote: ↑Wed Aug 12, 2020 9:40 am
ArmantiWaterSafety wrote: ↑Wed Aug 12, 2020 9:04 am
Do we just cancel everything and live in fear until 2024? Will we have enough data then?
But right now, we don't have anything. We don't have a vaccine or effective treatments. People keep comparing this to the flu and pointing out that we don't shut down for the flu. But we did shut down for this thing, more or less, and we still have 5.3M cases and 167K dead in the US alone. So I just can't get behind the notion that the solution is to just say "screw it" and move on like nothing's happening.
There's a difference between fear and prudence. Let's say this wasn't a virus. Let's say it was a shark. A big, gnarly shark. We all live in a beach town. It's about the size of Salisbury or Fuquay-Varina--33,000 or so. But right on the beach. And so far, 530 people have been bitten by the shark. 16 or 17 have been eaten by the shark. But authorities have mostly been trying to keep people out of the water. Should those who think it's a bad idea to go swimming be criticized? Be told they're living in fear?
The counterpoint to it is we really don't have a very effective treatment for the flu either besides take Tylenol and drink water, although we do we have a marginally effective vaccine for it. Tamiflu shortens the flu by like 2 days. Most aren't saying screw it, and I'm not saying let's say screw it, but with proper safety precautions I do think we can and should have a season.
And to the shark bit, I see your point but I would propose a counterpoint. In real life, whenever there is a shark bite in an area, the general recommendation by the news is stay out of that area for a bit. In this theoretical bit you presented, the shark is only going to get less hungry. So next year, 200 people will be bitten by the shark and 7 will be eaten by the shark. The next year when the shark is super fat and can swim hardly at all, 30 people will be bitten by the shark and 2 will be eaten by the shark. The shark is invincible and you can't relocate it, and the shark is also in every body of water in the world.
I would say it's likely unfair to be criticized and be told they're living in fear and I will meet people where they're at with the whole thing and I do wear a mask in every indoor space even when the majority of people in these small city places don't, but some people refuse to go swimming in an ocean period because of what could be out there and the majority of people call those people living in fear. Just like some people refuse to go on a plane because of what could happen and the majority of people call those people living in fear. At some point, the fear becomes irrational. I don't know where that point is with this whole thing which is why I meet people where they're at, but who gets to decide where that point is and when will we get there?