2.9% Playoff chance
Posted: Mon Sep 02, 2024 12:03 pm
So you're telling me there's a chance!
http://www.yosefscabin.com/forum/
JMU will get a sense of Chapel Hill as they play UNCC this weekend.ah59396 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 2:25 pmMakes sense to me. While we can potentially afford a Clemson loss, it would hurt our chances quite a bit. A loss to any of Liberty, JMU, Marshall, Stink, Coastal removed us entirely from the conversation (unless we upset Clemson).
JMU has a very beatable P4 - UNC.
I will say I think Tulane is overrated on this. They have Kansas State and then Oklahoma coming up. Almost certainly 2 losses. Boise also has Oregon.
Disagree that we would be entirely out of it with two losses. Would need help, sure. But there will be years in which the G5 representative has two losses.ah59396 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 2:25 pmMakes sense to me. While we can potentially afford a Clemson loss, it would hurt our chances quite a bit. A loss to any of Liberty, JMU, Marshall, Stink, Coastal removed us entirely from the conversation (unless we upset Clemson).
JMU has a very beatable P4 - UNC.
I will say I think Tulane is overrated on this. They have Kansas State and then Oklahoma coming up. Almost certainly 2 losses. Boise also has Oregon.
I do not see jmwho beating UNC. UNC's new DC is better than the last DC. Just my opinion.EastHallApp wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:00 pmDisagree that we would be entirely out of it with two losses. Would need help, sure. But there will be years in which the G5 representative has two losses.ah59396 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 2:25 pmMakes sense to me. While we can potentially afford a Clemson loss, it would hurt our chances quite a bit. A loss to any of Liberty, JMU, Marshall, Stink, Coastal removed us entirely from the conversation (unless we upset Clemson).
JMU has a very beatable P4 - UNC.
I will say I think Tulane is overrated on this. They have Kansas State and then Oklahoma coming up. Almost certainly 2 losses. Boise also has Oregon.
Let's repeat that statement.ah59396 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 5:08 pmESPN does not seem to be very bullish on us in general. We dropped in the FPI after week 1 and are projected at 7-5.
https://www.espn.com/college-football/f ... s/dir/desc
I disagree. The mouse runs college football. A slow start in FPI can leave a bad perception throughout the year to the money movers and could leave us out of the playoffs if we mange to be a top 5 G5 team and could get the nod. We have to impress the money movers and the gamblers with big point spread wins that make it appear on paper that we have a shot at upsetting someone in the playoffs thus appeasing the gamblers. So yes, even early season FPI matters in today's college football world.
I agree completely. Sportsmanship is out the window, especially if you’re a team with a legitimate shot at the CFP. The way this game will be played is a license to obliterate every team you can. If we could’ve thrown a hundred on ETSU then we should have…of course, we didn’t have the horses to do that on Saturday. But, if we did, I like to think that we wouldn’t have wasted one second of clock or not went for it on every 4th down.AtlAppMan wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 7:01 pmLet's repeat that statement.ah59396 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 5:08 pmESPN does not seem to be very bullish on us in general. We dropped in the FPI after week 1 and are projected at 7-5.
https://www.espn.com/college-football/f ... s/dir/desc
App DROPPED 9 positions this week due to a FPI perceived WEAK performance against ETSU. JMU JUMPED 10 positions due to FPI perceived good performance against UNCC.
I keep telling everyone we have to beat the crap out of the weaker teams on our schedule to raise in the ratings, both computer and people polls. Why do you think 4 SEC teams won by OVER 60 pts this past weekend? Because they know how the system works. We better wake up or we will be sitting in the corner at the end of the season whether we win the SBC or not.
You could not be more correct in your position. We should have beat ETSU by much more. Worst part is that I think we were trying to.AtlAppMan wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 7:01 pmLet's repeat that statement.ah59396 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2024 5:08 pmESPN does not seem to be very bullish on us in general. We dropped in the FPI after week 1 and are projected at 7-5.
https://www.espn.com/college-football/f ... s/dir/desc
App DROPPED 9 positions this week due to a FPI perceived WEAK performance against ETSU. JMU JUMPED 10 positions due to FPI perceived good performance against UNCC.
I keep telling everyone we have to beat the crap out of the weaker teams on our schedule to raise in the ratings, both computer and people polls. Why do you think 4 SEC teams won by OVER 60 pts this past weekend? Because they know how the system works. We better wake up or we will be sitting in the corner at the end of the season whether we win the SBC or not.