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ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:24 pm
by HighlandsApp
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Our statistical power rankings are up significantly. ESPN matrix puts AppState at the 3rd most probable to win all of our remaining games at 21%. Boise State leads at 40% followed by Ohio State at 25% then AppState then Baylor at 15%.
http://espn.go.com/college-football/sta ... probWinOut
You may click to see these rankings by many different categories.
Go AppState!
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:29 pm
by HighlandsApp
Here is ESPN matrix showing statistical probability to win each remaining on the schedule:
http://espn.go.com/college-football/tea ... &year=2015
Note the GaSo game is now over 66% likelihood that we win. Prior to ODU, it was in the 53% range.
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:39 pm
by Black Saturday
Vegas agrees this week by making APP -23 to Wyoming
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:52 pm
by APPARJ
Can we please just focus on Wyoming? Talking about the odds of winning out brings out the bad mojo!
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:56 pm
by HighlandsApp
APPARJ wrote:Can we please just focus on Wyoming? Talking about the odds of winning out brings out the bad mojo!
Alrighty then...
ESPN Statistical Matrix puts AppState at an almost 97% probability of beating Wyoming.
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:03 pm
by APPARJ
HighlandsApp wrote:APPARJ wrote:Can we please just focus on Wyoming? Talking about the odds of winning out brings out the bad mojo!
Alrighty then...
ESPN Statistical Matrix puts AppState at an almost 97% probability of beating Wyoming.
Ah! Better mojo!
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:13 pm
by Yosef10
I get the argument of not talking about winning games before they're played....if you're actually on the team. We're fans...on a message board. Without these conversations there's not much need for a msg board.
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Tue Sep 29, 2015 9:47 am
by WVAppsfan
The all knowing four letter network, the mother ship.... if they are right then I will take it. That would mean being ranked and losing out to Memphis for a New Years Six Bowl. That may well happen.
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Tue Sep 29, 2015 1:30 pm
by EastHallApp
Projected final record of either 9-3 or 10-2. Not bad at all.
The thing about these computer rankings early in the season is that the sample size is so small that they can change dramatically from week to week. But it's a nice data point.
Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out
Posted: Tue Sep 29, 2015 9:23 pm
by HighlandsApp
EastHallApp wrote:Projected final record of either 9-3 or 10-2. Not bad at all.
The thing about these computer rankings early in the season is that the sample size is so small that they can change dramatically from week to week. But it's a nice data point.
It is awesome to see us so high statistically. That will lead to some talking head praise if this awesome group can continue on this upward trajectory. Go AppState!