Over/under Wins

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AppWyo
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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by AppWyo » Sun May 26, 2024 11:04 pm

Black Saturday wrote:
Sun May 26, 2024 7:52 pm
kornegaylw wrote:
Sat May 25, 2024 6:34 pm
Do it every year so here it is...

1. ETSU - Win
2. @Clemson - Loss
3. @ECU - Win
4. S Alabama - Win
5. Liberty - Win
6. @Marshal - Loss
7. @Louisiana - Win
8. Georgia St - Win
9. ODU - Win
10. @Coastal - Win
11. James Madison - Win
12. @ Georgia Southern - Win

Thats a 10-2 season. We could lose at Libery and win at Marshal...I just haven't seen what I need to see to feel confident about this team having the heart and toughness to win every road conference game. I hope I'm wrong.

I think we figure things out against ETSU, look good at times against Clemson, see it start to come together at ECU then hit our stride against S Alabama. If we can hang tough through Lib/Mar/UL we can get it right for the CCU/JMU/GSU run to the end.

We have tough stretches gapped with breathers and the only double away stretch at Marshall/UL which will be tough...if we get through that we control our destiny.

Its gonna be a fun one this year.
My 4 cents adjusted for inflation,

Road games will be where we can stub our toes. Can we figure out the Coastal conundrum? I think we've had better teams in a couple of recent losses to them. GaSouthern has a history for messing up our season
Georgia Southern believes the same about us.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by Black Saturday » Mon May 27, 2024 6:47 am

Recent history they beat our best "2018" team and knocked us out of a bowl last game in Statesboro.

On paper before we begin, 2024 can be a great year. It's hard to win. Since I omitted my prediction earlier - my SWAG the ball bounces our way more this year - at least 9 wins regular season- which is an improvement over last season - and a return to the conference championship game - in Boone which is important to winning that game.
BLACK SATURDAY

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by Saint3333 » Mon May 27, 2024 9:07 am

USA on a short week will be our first tossup game and set the tone for a though start to conference play (USA, Marshall, ULL).

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by Stonewall » Mon May 27, 2024 10:06 am

Big year for football staffs future. Expectations are high.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by AppSt94 » Mon May 27, 2024 10:18 am

Stonewall wrote:
Mon May 27, 2024 10:06 am
Big year for football staffs future. Expectations are high.
It is understandable, but man if something happens to 4, it could get sideways real quick.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by Black Saturday » Mon May 27, 2024 11:51 am

AppSt94 wrote:
Mon May 27, 2024 10:18 am
Stonewall wrote:
Mon May 27, 2024 10:06 am
Big year for football staffs future. Expectations are high.
It is understandable, but man if something happens to 4, it could get sideways real quick.
Truer words haven't been spoken about the 2024 season.
BLACK SATURDAY

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by ah59396 » Mon May 27, 2024 12:39 pm

1. ETSU - Win
2. @Clemson - Loss
3. @ECU - toss up
4. S Alabama - Win
5. Liberty - toss up
6. @Marshal - toss up
7. @Louisiana - toss up
8. Georgia St - Win
9. ODU - Win
10. @Coastal - toss up
11. James Madison - toss up
12. @ Georgia Southern - toss up

The way I see it, of the 12 games, we have one guaranteed loss and 4 guaranteed wins.

The remaining 7 are toss ups IMO. 5 of which are on the road. If you win half, well that’s 7.5 wins. Not an unreasonable O/U.
YNWA

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by Stonewall » Mon May 27, 2024 1:32 pm

That’s about how it looks, objectively. Tough schedule.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by 311neers » Mon May 27, 2024 2:59 pm

ah59396 wrote:
Mon May 27, 2024 12:39 pm
1. ETSU - Win
2. @Clemson - Loss
3. @ECU - toss up
4. S Alabama - Win
5. Liberty - toss up
6. @Marshal - toss up
7. @Louisiana - toss up
8. Georgia St - Win
9. ODU - Win
10. @Coastal - toss up
11. James Madison - toss up
12. @ Georgia Southern - toss up

The way I see it, of the 12 games, we have one guaranteed loss and 4 guaranteed wins.

The remaining 7 are toss ups IMO. 5 of which are on the road. If you win half, well that’s 7.5 wins. Not an unreasonable O/U.
Agreed on the O/U and most likely believe 8 wins. The 4 away conference games against tough teams cause me some headache.

If this was our schedule after the 2019 season, I’d say 11-1, maybe 10-2. Some of these teams have improved over the last couple years.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by NattyBumppo'sRevenge » Tue May 28, 2024 7:26 am

ah59396 wrote:
Mon May 27, 2024 12:39 pm
1. ETSU - Win
2. @Clemson - Loss
3. @ECU - toss up
4. S Alabama - Win
5. Liberty - toss up
6. @Marshal - toss up
7. @Louisiana - toss up
8. Georgia St - Win
9. ODU - Win
10. @Coastal - toss up
11. James Madison - toss up
12. @ Georgia Southern - toss up

The way I see it, of the 12 games, we have one guaranteed loss and 4 guaranteed wins.

The remaining 7 are toss ups IMO. 5 of which are on the road. If you win half, well that’s 7.5 wins. Not an unreasonable O/U.
I see ETSU as our only given win, but think we can beat everyone on our schedule including Clemson. I’m going with 9-3 regular season with opportunities to win CCG and bowl game.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by Bigdaddyg1 » Tue May 28, 2024 1:06 pm

I always enjoy this (usually annual) topic. There are always distinct camps- the group who is absolutely pessimistic and never wants to pick us to be good- only guaranteed win is ETSU. Then you have the other extremely optimistic group who sees a 10 win season. Of course we always have the group who refuses to even play along because it’s literally one game at a time. That negative Nancy group seems to always believe that us fans somehow control the fate of our teams. Most of them also secretly want to come back in December after we go 7-5 and say they told us. It seems like next season’s team has more question marks than in several years past. We know what we have at quarterback and our offensive weapons appear to be deep. The trenches will dictate the whole season. Can we establish the run and pass protect? Can we stop the run and put pressure on the other guys?

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by AppSt94 » Tue May 28, 2024 1:32 pm

Bigdaddyg1 wrote:
Tue May 28, 2024 1:06 pm
I always enjoy this (usually annual) topic. There are always distinct camps- the group who is absolutely pessimistic and never wants to pick us to be good- only guaranteed win is ETSU. Then you have the other extremely optimistic group who sees a 10 win season. Of course we always have the group who refuses to even play along because it’s literally one game at a time. That negative Nancy group seems to always believe that us fans somehow control the fate of our teams. Most of them also secretly want to come back in December after we go 7-5 and say they told us. It seems like next season’s team has more question marks than in several years past. We know what we have at quarterback and our offensive weapons appear to be deep. The trenches will dictate the whole season. Can we establish the run and pass protect? Can we stop the run and put pressure on the other guys?
I am a one game at a time because we don’t know what variables are in play from week to week. For me it’s we know what we have at QB #1 but don’t know what we have at QB#2 that creates the pause. Joey gives us a chance to go 12-0. Backups give us a chance at 6-6.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by Saint3333 » Tue May 28, 2024 1:38 pm

BIgdaddy agreed, with one caveat, 10 wins most seasons isn't extremely optimistic. The reasonable range of outcomes most seasons is between 7-10 regular season wins.

We go 3-1 more often than 2-2 in OOC games and anything worse than 6-2 in conference would be a below average year. I think most would say 2024 should be a solid year, the media and coaches will pick us top two in the east.

Throwing out "if healthy" should be a given when reading projections for a season.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by pop5app » Tue May 28, 2024 1:44 pm

Somewhere, sometime wasn’t this suppose to be the year?

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by t4pizza » Tue May 28, 2024 2:43 pm

I really want to say 10 wins in the regular season, but can't commit to that without knowing more about our OL situation. I will have to revisit this after fall camp when we will hopefully know a bit more about all the new faces and how they look in our system. We got a lot of seemingly very talented players, just also very inexperienced. I really think the success of the team will depend on our OL this season. If we can protect Joey so he has time to makes his reads and get the playmakers the ball AND also give our RBs lanes to run, well then we will have a big season.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by Stonewall » Wed May 29, 2024 2:55 pm

Staff needs a Conference Championship. Heck , I need a Conference Championship. They just need it worse ….

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by ASUFan4863 » Wed May 29, 2024 4:05 pm

8-4 with a conference championship title should be the bare minimum expectation (obviously if everyone remains healthy). Even at 8-4, there is a bit of disappointment. It would be a letdown if we can't improve from last year with coaching continuity and returning several key players.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by InFor6More » Wed May 29, 2024 8:37 pm

t4pizza wrote:
Tue May 28, 2024 2:43 pm
I really want to say 10 wins in the regular season, but can't commit to that without knowing more about our OL situation. I will have to revisit this after fall camp when we will hopefully know a bit more about all the new faces and how they look in our system. We got a lot of seemingly very talented players, just also very inexperienced. I really think the success of the team will depend on our OL this season. If we can protect Joey so he has time to makes his reads and get the playmakers the ball AND also give our RBs lanes to run, well then we will have a big season.
I just hope Joey can find some throwing lanes over, around and between all that beef on the line. We haven’t had 6’7” and 6’8” dudes across the line since…..well ever.

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by 311neers » Thu May 30, 2024 11:10 am

InFor6More wrote:
Wed May 29, 2024 8:37 pm
t4pizza wrote:
Tue May 28, 2024 2:43 pm
I really want to say 10 wins in the regular season, but can't commit to that without knowing more about our OL situation. I will have to revisit this after fall camp when we will hopefully know a bit more about all the new faces and how they look in our system. We got a lot of seemingly very talented players, just also very inexperienced. I really think the success of the team will depend on our OL this season. If we can protect Joey so he has time to makes his reads and get the playmakers the ball AND also give our RBs lanes to run, well then we will have a big season.
I just hope Joey can find some throwing lanes over, around and between all that beef on the line. We haven’t had 6’7” and 6’8” dudes across the line since…..well ever.
Size matters?

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Re: Over/under Wins

Unread post by BambooRdApp » Thu May 30, 2024 11:12 am

311neers wrote:
Thu May 30, 2024 11:10 am
InFor6More wrote:
Wed May 29, 2024 8:37 pm
t4pizza wrote:
Tue May 28, 2024 2:43 pm
I really want to say 10 wins in the regular season, but can't commit to that without knowing more about our OL situation. I will have to revisit this after fall camp when we will hopefully know a bit more about all the new faces and how they look in our system. We got a lot of seemingly very talented players, just also very inexperienced. I really think the success of the team will depend on our OL this season. If we can protect Joey so he has time to makes his reads and get the playmakers the ball AND also give our RBs lanes to run, well then we will have a big season.
I just hope Joey can find some throwing lanes over, around and between all that beef on the line. We haven’t had 6’7” and 6’8” dudes across the line since…..well ever.
Size matters?
I hear that it does not. You work to be perfect with what you got.🤣🤣
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