ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Post Reply Previous topicNext topic
HighlandsApp
Posts: 1297
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2014 12:44 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 926 times
Been thanked: 679 times

ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by HighlandsApp » Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:24 pm

[img]
Screen shot 2015-09-28 at 1.12.57 PM.png
[/img]

Our statistical power rankings are up significantly. ESPN matrix puts AppState at the 3rd most probable to win all of our remaining games at 21%. Boise State leads at 40% followed by Ohio State at 25% then AppState then Baylor at 15%.

http://espn.go.com/college-football/sta ... probWinOut

You may click to see these rankings by many different categories.

Go AppState!
Top
HighlandsApp
Posts: 1297
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2014 12:44 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 926 times
Been thanked: 679 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by HighlandsApp » Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:29 pm

Here is ESPN matrix showing statistical probability to win each remaining on the schedule:

http://espn.go.com/college-football/tea ... &year=2015

Note the GaSo game is now over 66% likelihood that we win. Prior to ODU, it was in the 53% range.
Last edited by HighlandsApp on Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Top
Black Saturday
Posts: 10692
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 11:22 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 1018 times
Been thanked: 1177 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by Black Saturday » Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:39 pm

Vegas agrees this week by making APP -23 to Wyoming
BLACK SATURDAY
Top
User avatar
APPARJ
Posts: 973
Joined: Thu Mar 06, 2014 10:19 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 118 times
Been thanked: 293 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by APPARJ » Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:52 pm

Can we please just focus on Wyoming? Talking about the odds of winning out brings out the bad mojo!
Image ImageImage
ImageImage
Top
HighlandsApp
Posts: 1297
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2014 12:44 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 926 times
Been thanked: 679 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by HighlandsApp » Mon Sep 28, 2015 12:56 pm

APPARJ wrote:Can we please just focus on Wyoming? Talking about the odds of winning out brings out the bad mojo!

Alrighty then...

ESPN Statistical Matrix puts AppState at an almost 97% probability of beating Wyoming.
Top
User avatar
APPARJ
Posts: 973
Joined: Thu Mar 06, 2014 10:19 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 118 times
Been thanked: 293 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by APPARJ » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:03 pm

HighlandsApp wrote:
APPARJ wrote:Can we please just focus on Wyoming? Talking about the odds of winning out brings out the bad mojo!

Alrighty then...

ESPN Statistical Matrix puts AppState at an almost 97% probability of beating Wyoming.
Ah! Better mojo!
Image ImageImage
ImageImage
Top
Yosef10
Posts: 1835
Joined: Thu Jan 30, 2014 11:15 am
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 335 times
Been thanked: 758 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by Yosef10 » Mon Sep 28, 2015 1:13 pm

I get the argument of not talking about winning games before they're played....if you're actually on the team. We're fans...on a message board. Without these conversations there's not much need for a msg board.
Top
WVAppsfan
Posts: 462
Joined: Mon Aug 10, 2015 12:54 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 358 times
Been thanked: 154 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by WVAppsfan » Tue Sep 29, 2015 9:47 am

The all knowing four letter network, the mother ship.... if they are right then I will take it. That would mean being ranked and losing out to Memphis for a New Years Six Bowl. That may well happen.
"Always give your all"
Top
EastHallApp
Posts: 6789
Joined: Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:34 pm
School: Appalachian State
Location: Raleigh
Has thanked: 3374 times
Been thanked: 2947 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by EastHallApp » Tue Sep 29, 2015 1:30 pm

Projected final record of either 9-3 or 10-2. Not bad at all.

The thing about these computer rankings early in the season is that the sample size is so small that they can change dramatically from week to week. But it's a nice data point.
Top
HighlandsApp
Posts: 1297
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2014 12:44 pm
School: Appalachian State
Has thanked: 926 times
Been thanked: 679 times

Re: ESPN has AppState as a 21% Probability to Win Out

Unread post by HighlandsApp » Tue Sep 29, 2015 9:23 pm

EastHallApp wrote:Projected final record of either 9-3 or 10-2. Not bad at all.

The thing about these computer rankings early in the season is that the sample size is so small that they can change dramatically from week to week. But it's a nice data point.

It is awesome to see us so high statistically. That will lead to some talking head praise if this awesome group can continue on this upward trajectory. Go AppState!
Top
Post Reply Previous topicNext topic

Return to “Appalachian Football”